Antifederalist No. 12
HOW WILL THE NEW GOVERNMENT RAISE MONEY?
"CINCINNATUS" is an Antifederalist writer. In this essay, from an
Address to a Meeting of the Citizens of Philadelphia, the writer
responds to James Wilson's statements about Congress' powers to
tax under the Constitution. It appeared in the November 29 and
December 6, 1787, New-York Journal, as reprinted from a
Philadelphia newspaper.
On the subject of taxation, in which powers are to be given
so largely by the new constitution, you [James Wilson of
Pennsylvania] lull our fears of abuse by venturing to predict
"that the great revenue of the United States must, and always
will, be raised by impost"-and you elevate our hopes by holding
out, "the reviving and supporting the national credit." If you
have any other plan for this, than by raising money upon the
people to pay the interest of the national debt, your ingenuity
will deserve our thanks. Supposing however, that raising money
is necessary to payment of the interest, and such a payment [is]
requisite to support the credit of the union-let us see how much
will be necessary for that end, and how far the impost will
supply what we want. The arrearages of French and Spanish
interest amount now to--1,500,000 dollars; Interest and
installments of do. for 1788--850,227; Support of government; and
its departments, for 1788--500,000; Arrears and anticipations of
1787--300,000; Interest of domestic debt--500,000 {total}
4,650,227 [3,650,227]
The new Congress then, supposing it to get into operation
towards October, 1788, will have to provide for this sum, and for
the additional sum of 3,000,000 at least for the ensuing year;
which together will make the sum of 7,650,227 [6,650,227].
Now let us see how the impost will answer this. Congress
have furnished us with their estimate of the produce of the whole
imports of America at five per cent and that is 800,000 dollars.
There will remain to provide for, by other taxes, 6,850,227
[5,850,227].
We know too, that our imports diminish yearly, and from the
nature of things must continue to diminish; and consequently that
the above estimate of the produce of the impost, will in all
probability fall much short of the supposed sum. But even
without this, it must appear that you [were] either intentionally
misleading your hearers, or [were] very little acquainted with
the subject when you ventured to predict that the great revenue
of the United States would always flow from the impost. The
estimate above is from the publications of Congress, and I
presume is right. But the sum stated, necessary to be raised by
the new government, in order to answer the expectations they have
raised, is not all. The state debts, independent of what each
owes to the United States, amount to about 30,000,000 dollars;
the annual interest of this is 1,000,000.
It will be expected that the new government will provide for
this also; and such expectation is founded, not only on the
promise you hold forth, of its reviving and supporting public
credit among us, but also on this unavoidable principle of
justice-that is, the new government takes away the impost, and
other substantial taxes, from the produce of which the several
states paid the interest of their debt, or funded the paper with
which they paid it. The new government must find ways and means
of supplying that deficiency, . . . in hard money, for . . .
paper . . . cannot [be used] without a violation of the
principles it boasts. The sum then which it must annually raise
in specie, after the first year, cannot be less than 4,800,000.
At present there is not one half of this sum in specie raised in
all the states. And yet the complaints of intolerable taxes has
produced one rebellion and will be mainly operative in the
adoption of your constitution. How you will get this sum is
inconceivable and yet get it you must, or lose all credit. With
magnificent promises you have bought golden opinions of all sorts
of people, and with gold you must answer them, . . .
To satisfy [our fellow citizens] more fully on the subject
of the revenue, that is to be raised upon them, in order to give
enormous fortunes to the jobbers in public securities, I shall
lay before them a proposition to Congress, from Mr. Robert
Morris, when superintendent of finance. It is dated, I think,'
the 29th of June, 1782, and is in these words:
[I say, I think, because by accident the month is erased in
the note I have, and I have not access to public papers which
would enable me to supply the defect.]
"The requisition of a five per cent impost, made on the 3d of
February, 1781, has not yet been complied with by the state of
Rhode Island, but as there is reason to believe, that their
compliance is not far off, this revenue may be considered as
already granted. It will, however, be very inadequate to the
purposes intended. If goods be imported, and prizes introduced to
the amount of twelve millions annually, the five per cent would
be six hundred thousand, from which at least one sixth must be
deducted, as well for the cost of collection as for the various
defalcations which will necessarily happen, and which it is
unnecessary to enumerate. It is not safe therefore, to estimate
this revenue at more than half a million of dollars; for though
it may produce more, yet probably it will not produce so much.
It was in consequence of this, that on the 27th day of February
last, I took the liberty to submit the propriety of asking the
states for a land tax of one dollar for every hundred acres of
land-a poll-tax of one dollar on all freemen, and all male
slaves, between sixteen and sixty, excepting such as are in the
federal army, or by wounds or otherwise rendered unfit for
service-and an excise of one eighth of a dollar, on all distilled
spiritous liquors. Each of these may be estimated at half a
million; and should the product be equal to the estimation, the
sum total of revenues for funding the public debts, would be
equal to two millions."
You will readily perceive, Mr. Wilson, that there is a vast
difference between your prediction and your friend's proposition.
Give me leave to say, sir, that it was not discreet, in you, to
speak upon finance without instructions from this great
financier. Since, independent of its delusive effect upon your
audience, it may excite his jealousy, lest you should have a
secret design of rivalling him in the expected office of
superintendent under the new constitution. It is true, there is
no real foundation for it; but then you know jealousy makes the
food it feeds on. A quarrel between two such able and honest
friends to the United States, would, I am persuaded, be felt as a
public calamity. I beseech you then to be very tender upon this
point in your next harangue. And if four months' study will not
furnish you with sufficient discretion, we will indulge you with
six.
It may be said, that let the government be what it may, the
sums I have stated must be raised, and the same difficulties
exist. This is not altogether true. For first, we are now in
the way of paying the interest of the domestic debt, with paper,
which under the new system is utterly reprobated. This makes a
difference between the specie to be raised of 1,800,000 dollars
per annum. If the new government raises this sum in specie on the
people, it will certainly support public credit, but it will
overwhelm the people. It will give immense fortunes to the
speculators; but it will grind the poor to dust. Besides, the
present government is now redeeming the principal of the domestic
debt by the sale of western lands. But let the full interest be
paid in specie, and who will part with the principal for those
lands? A principal, which having been generally purchased for
two shillings and six pence on the pound, will yield to the
holders two hundred and forty per cent. This paper system
therefore, though in general an evil, is in this instance
attended with the great benefit of enabling the public to cancel
a debt upon easy terms, which has been swelled to its enormous
size, by as enormous impositions. And the new government, by
promising too much, will involve itself in a disreputable breach
of faith. . . .
The present government promises nothing; the intended
government, everything. From the present government little is
expected; from the intended one, much. Because it is conceived
that to the latter much is given; to the former, little. And yet
the inability of the people to pay what is required in specie,
remaining the same, the funds of the one will not much exceed
those of the other. The public creditors are easy with the
present government from a conviction of its inability [to pay].
They will be urgent with the new one from an opinion, that as is
promised, so it can and will perform every thing. Whether the
change will be for our prosperity and honor, is yet to be tried.
Perhaps it will be found, that the supposed want of power in
Congress to levy taxes is, at present a veil happily thrown over
the inability of the people; and that the large powers given to
the new government will, to every one, expose the nakedness of
our land. Certain it is, that if the expectations which are
grafted on the gift of those plenary powers, are not answered,
our credit will be irretrievably ruined.
CINCINNATUS